Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Delay Past the 30 June Deadline for an Agreement is Possible Due to . . .

6/13: Reuters (Wilkin) reports from President Rouhani: Iran will accept IAEA Inspections, but will not compromise State SecretsU.S. and French diplomats have called for Iran to accept stringent measures including granting inspectors access to its military sites as well as inspections on as little as two hours notice -- access that the Protocol could encompass.  Rouhani said Iran could embrace the Protocol, noting that other states that are signatories to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) had done so without problem.
   But he insisted Iran should not face especially far-reaching measures.  "A problem we face on many issues is that when we reach a framework in one meeting, our negotiating partners go back on it in the next meeting," said Rouhani . . . .   "If the other side sticks to the framework that has been established, and does not bring new issues into play, I believe it can be solved... But if they want to take the path of brinkmanship, the negotiations could take longer."
   The IAEA has long had regular, if limited, access to Iran's nuclear-related sites. But Tehran has refused to let the agency visit military sites, citing the risk of security-sensitive information being passed on to Western intelligence agencies. 

6/11: Suspected Espionage in Nuke Talks:  If Rouhani is concerned about the P6 being disingenuous, this might raise his hackles:  CNN (Smith-Stark) reports:
Swiss and Austrian authorities are investigating claims of potential espionage during recent nuclear talks between Iran and world powers, including the United States, officials from each nation said ThursdayThe investigations started after Russian Internet security firm Kaspersky Lab said this week that it had uncovered a sophisticated cyberespionage weapon in use around the world, and specifically targeting hotels that hosted the nuclear talks.  

Of course, the alleged spying may be neither side involved in the negotiations . . .

   An earlier version of the [so-called] Duqu virus has been linked to Israel.
   And The Wall Street Journal reported in March that Israel had obtained confidential information about the closed-door negotiations to help it argue against a potential deal.
Israel strongly denied the report, however. "These allegations are utterly false," a senior official in the Israeli Prime Minister's office told CNN at the time. "The state of Israel does not conduct espionage against the United States or Israel's other allies."
   The Israeli government's use of the information it allegedly gleaned -- sharing it with U.S. lawmakers and others to undercut support for a deal -- angered the White House, the Journal said in its report, citing current and former U.S. officials.

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